Signals · private Telegram channel

Rare big-move hunters. Every trade public.

Five options strategies from our Polygon board hunt rare, sharp moves in BTC and ETH. You get every entry and every exit in Telegram. Before you pay, you can see every number below, including the ugly ones.

199 USDT / year, 25 USDT / month, or 45 USDT / month with Whale Watch and Expiry Brief. Crypto only.

Most trades lose. Read this first.

  • • These are paper trades: a virtual account, $1,000 per signal, filled at real Deribit bid/ask prices with fees. Real-money trades: 0.
  • • Win rates are between 0% and 36%. A few large winners carry the totals. Without its single best trade, only one of the five strategies is positive.
  • • September and October were negative for all five strategies.
  • • Dust V1 and V2 show large totals elsewhere only because of a backtest. Their live paper record has no winning trade yet. We show the backtest separately and do not add it to the totals below.
  • • Signals reach the channel within about 2 hours of the paper fill. Your price will differ.
  • • Past results say nothing about future ones. This is not advice.

The record

Five strategies, live paper trades only.

Ledger updated: 2026-10-20 20:56 UTC

PAPER · $1,000 / signal · live paper since 2026-05-26

Volatility Convergence V3

Closed trades39 +2 open now
Win rate36%
Total+$10,520
Best trade+$4,707
Worst trade−$839
Without best trade+$5,813
Without top 3−$505
Max drawdown−$5,870
Last 60 days+$2,929 (23/7✓)
Last 90 days+$2,104 (25/7✓)
Since 1 Sep−$4,137 (17/4✓)
From no-book exits+$13,860 (6)

By month: 06/26 +$9,116 · 07/26 −$888 · 08/26 +$6,429 · 09/26 −$1,606 · 10/26 −$2,531

PAPER · $1,000 / signal · live paper since 2026-05-26

Skew 2.0 V2

Closed trades51
Win rate31%
Total+$5,064
Best trade+$8,233
Worst trade−$1,049
Without best trade−$3,170
Without top 3−$7,561
Max drawdown−$9,152
Last 60 days−$7,225 (23/5✓)
Last 90 days−$662 (28/6✓)
Since 1 Sep−$7,676 (16/3✓)
From no-book exits+$248 (13)

By month: 05/26 +$149 · 06/26 +$6,148 · 07/26 −$2,050 · 08/26 +$8,492 · 09/26 −$2,844 · 10/26 −$4,832

PAPER · $1,000 / signal · live paper since 2026-05-23

Fear Spike V3

Closed trades11
Win rate27%
Total+$1,754
Best trade+$3,981
Worst trade−$877
Without best trade−$2,227
Without top 3−$4,572
Max drawdown−$2,672
Last 60 days−$1,692 (3/0✓)
Last 90 days+$445 (4/1✓)
Since 1 Sep−$138 (1/0✓)
From no-book exits+$3,981 (1)

By month: 05/26 +$3,104 · 06/26 −$1,796 · 08/26 +$583 · 10/26 −$138

PAPER · $1,000 / signal · live paper since 2026-08-07

Dust V1

Closed trades14 +2 open now
Win rate0%
Total−$15,711
Best trade−$1,088
Worst trade−$1,126
Without best trade−$14,623
Without top 3−$12,377
Max drawdown−$15,711
Last 60 days−$11,211 (10/0✓)
Last 90 days−$15,711 (14/0✓)
Since 1 Sep−$11,211 (10/0✓)
From no-book exits0

By month: 08/26 −$4,500 · 09/26 −$5,623 · 10/26 −$5,587

⚠️ Backtest, shown separately, NOT in the totals: 27 backtest trades, +$41,429, best +$43,743.

PAPER · $1,000 / signal · live paper since 2026-08-01

Dust V2

Closed trades20 +2 open now
Win rate0%
Total−$22,505
Best trade−$1,123
Worst trade−$1,128
Without best trade−$21,383
Without top 3−$19,136
Max drawdown−$22,505
Last 60 days−$15,751 (14/0✓)
Last 90 days−$22,505 (20/0✓)
Since 1 Sep−$15,751 (14/0✓)
From no-book exits0

By month: 08/26 −$6,754 · 09/26 −$8,999 · 10/26 −$6,752

⚠️ Backtest, shown separately, NOT in the totals: 31 backtest trades, +$99,586, best +$93,476.

What a signal looks like

🎯 ENTRY · Volatility Convergence V3 · BTC
BTC call 84000 + put 84000, 7d
Premium paid: $1,000 (paper account, filled at ask)
Planned hold: 168 h

… later …

❌ EXIT · Volatility Convergence V3 · BTC
Result: −$412 (−41%, after fees)

Plans

Signals

25 USDT / month

or 199 USDT / year · all five strategies · private channel

Bundle

45 USDT / month

Signals + Whale Watch + Expiry Brief · three private channels

Why so cheap. Because the record does not justify more. We would rather show you a full ledger at 25 USDT than a cherry-picked equity curve at 100. For reference: Laevitas Premium costs $50 a month and Velo $129 a month for data without signals. Typical Telegram VIP signal channels charge $50 to $150 a month and rarely show a ledger.

FAQ

Are these real trades?

No. All trades are paper trades in a virtual account, $1,000 per signal, filled at real Deribit bid and ask prices with fees. No real money is behind them.

What is a no-book exit?

When the planned hold ended and the order book was empty, the exit was valued without a real bid. Those exits are counted, and we show how much of each total comes from them, because a real fill could have been worse.

Why is Dust's backtest not in the total?

Because it was not traded live. Its live paper record started in August and has no winning trade yet. The backtest is shown on its own line so you can judge it, not mixed into the result.

How fast do signals arrive?

Within about 2 hours of the paper fill: the ledger syncs every ~2 hours. These strategies hold for hours to days, but your fill will still differ.

How do I pay?

In @whalewatch_brief_bot, in USDT or USDC on TRON, Ethereum, Arbitrum or BSC. Prepaid, no automatic renewal.

Will this make me money?

We do not promise that, and the record above shows why. Most trades lose; the strategies depend on rare large moves that may not come.

25 USDT / month

Most trades lose. Read first.

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